What would AI say? There are many predictions done about the outcome of tonight’s Eurovision Song Contest. But what would AI say? We asked chatGPT to predict the outcome.
The Eurovision Song Contest 2025 Grand Final is set for Saturday, May 17 in Basel, Switzerland, with 26 countries competing for the trophy. The running order has been decided: Norway will open the show and Albania has the honour of closing. Bookmakers’ odds and fan buzz have identified clear favorites. Running order, jury vs. televote appeal, and historical patterns add further context. Below, we break down each finalist in running order. We analyze their chances based on the latest odds, commentary from Eurovision fan sites and other analytical factors. Each entry’s act and song followed by our final prediction for its placement.
1. Norway: Kyle Alessandro – “Lighter”
Norway has the unenviable task of performing first. The opening slot is generally seen as a tough starting position. No Eurovision winner has come from the #1 spot in decades. “Lighter” is an upbeat pop number delivered by teenage singer Kyle Alessandro. While it’s a high-energy opener, bookmakers are not optimistic about Norway’s chances this year. The entry is currently ranked around 21st in the betting odds, with less than a 1% implied chance of victory. Eurovision fans have noted that songs starting the show often struggle to stay memorable by the end of the night. Norway’s modern pop track may face that fate. There hasn’t been substantial hype on fan sites for this act; most commentary positions Norway as a likely filler rather than a contender.
On the plus side, Norway’s staging is said to be fun and vibrant, which could grab televoters’ attention early. However, juries typically favor more vocally or artistically impressive entries later in the show. Historical voting patterns suggest Norway can pick up Scandinavian neighbor points, but those alone won’t carry “Lighter” very far. Prediction: Outside the Top 20 (a likely bottom-five finish).
📷 EBU/Corinne Cumming
2. Luxembourg: Laura Thorn – “La Poupée Monte Le Son”
Luxembourg returns to the Eurovision final with Laura Thorn’s retro francophone bop, but unfortunately she’s drawn the so-called “death slot” – second in the running order. This position has never produced a Eurovision winner, and it’s widely viewed as disadvantageous since a performance so early can be easily forgotten. Laura’s song “La Poupée Monte Le Son” (“The Doll Turns Up the Sound”) is an up-tempo, cabaret-influenced track that brings fun 1980s vibes. Fans are excited to see Luxembourg back in the contest after a long absence, yet predictions for its final result are modest. Bookmakers place Luxembourg near the bottom, hovering around 17th–20th in the odds with well below a 1% chance to win.
Eurovision fan sites appreciate the song’s charm. However, few see it as a serious threat to the top of the scoreboard. Being second on stage, it may struggle to stand out once the bigger acts perform later. Unless juries really reward its classic Eurovision feel, Luxembourg will likely rely on a few points from friendly juries (perhaps France or Belgium) and nostalgists in the televote. Prediction: Outside the Top 20 (a bottom-tier finish for this pleasant but early-number entry).
📷 EBU/Corinne Cumming
3. Estonia: Tommy Cash – “Espresso Macchiato”
Estonia brings avant-garde flair with Tommy Cash’s “Espresso Macchiato,” one of the most eccentric entries of the night. Tommy Cash is known for his experimental hip-hop/electro style and provocative staging, so Estonia’s performance is sure to be memorable. Albeit perhaps polarizing. Placed 3rd in the lineup, it performs early, but the upside is that it follows two comparatively lighter songs, potentially jolting the audience awake with its bizarre energy. Bookmakers have Estonia in the middle of the pack: roughly 8th–10th in the odds, translating to about a 2% chance of winning. This suggests expectations of a mid-table finish, with an outside shot at the top 10.
Prominent fan outlets have mixed views on Estonia’s chances. Many fans praise the entry’s creativity and risk-taking, but also caution that juries may not reward such an unconventional performance. Indeed, the press poll after rehearsals ranked Estonia only around 20th, indicating media observers weren’t overly impressed by its jury-final run-through. On the other hand, televoters could find “Espresso Macchiato” either brilliantly weird or just too weird. Historical voting for Estonia has been hit-or-miss; this year, the unique entry could either capitalize on a cult following or be overlooked for being too out-there. Prediction: Mid table (Estonia will likely finish somewhere around 11th–15th, unless its quirkiness galvanizes enough support for a top 10 surprise).
📷 EBU/Sarah Louise Bennett
4. Israel: Yuval Raphael – “New Day Will Rise”
Israel’s Yuval Raphael delivers a pop ballad with in “New Day Will Rise.” This entry has been under an unusual spotlight – not only as one of the bookies’ higher-rated songs but also due to political controversy. Yuval is a survivor of a traumatic event (the Nova music festival attack). Her participation has sparked intense debate and protests. Israel qualified from its semi-final and entered the final. Betting odds currently place Israel around 6th–7th, implying roughly a 3% chance to win. In other words, bookmakers expect a respectable finish, possibly just inside the top 10, but not necessarily a win.
What are the fan sites saying? They acknowledged Yuval’s stunning vocal performance and the emotional weight of her story, yet fans wonder if televoters might be swayed by politics. ESCUnited forum discussions predict that juries will rank Israel quite high. The televote is a wildcard. It could either rally behind the moving backstory or be dampened by the controversy. Running 4th isn’t ideal for a ballad of this stature, as later upbeat songs might overshadow it. However, Israel has a strong recent track record (a win in 2018 and several top 10s) and diaspora support across Europe. Look for “New Day Will Rise” to score well with juries; televote support is less certain but should be enough to avoid the lower tier. Prediction: Borderline Top 10 (Israel could finish in the upper mid-table, around 8th–12th place).
📷 EBU/Corinne Cumming
5. Lithuania: Katarsis – “Tavo Akys”
Lithuania’s entry “Tavo Akys” (“Your Eyes”) by the band Katarsis is a modern pop-rock song with an anthemic chorus. Staging features moody lighting and an emotive band performance. Drawing 5th in the running order, Lithuania performs fairly early, which may limit its impact. The betting markets indicate low expectations. Lithuania is near the bottom of the odds, ranked around 22nd out of 26, with well below a 1% chance of victory. Fans on sites comment sections have described the song as solid but not particularly standout in a year with many flashy acts.
One positive sign for Lithuania: the group delivered consistent vocals in the jury show, and the song’s heartfelt vibe could resonate with juries looking for authenticity. However, televoters historically give Lithuania mixed support unless the song really pops (as seen with their last top-10 result in 2016). “Tavo Akys” hasn’t generated a lot of buzz or momentum – it qualified quietly from the semi. Combined with its early slot, that suggests it may struggle to pick up points outside of its Baltic neighbors. Prediction: Outside the Top 20 (Lithuania is likely headed for a bottom-five finish this year).
📷 EBU/Sarah Louise Bennett
6. Spain: Melody – “Esa Diva”
Spain’s Melody brings Latin flair and diva attitude to the stage with “ESA DIVA” (stylized in all caps). As a Big 5 nation, Spain didn’t have to qualify through the semis, but Melody has been busy promoting her uptempo dance-pop number across fan media. The song is catchy, with a touch of flamenco fusion and a big dance break that should get the audience moving. Despite its infectious energy, bookmakers are not convinced Spain will break its long drought The odds place Spain around 14th–15th, meaning less than a 1% chance to win. This implies a finish in the middle or lower half of the table.
Spain’s entry “Esa Diva,” performed by Melody, made a stronger impression than expected during rehearsals. In the ESCXtra press poll, Spain placed 10th, indicating that Melody’s vocals and energetic choreography resonated well with accredited media. Fan sites have praised her charismatic presence on stage, though some still feel the song itself leans on classic Eurovision tropes. Positioned 6th in the running order, Spain doesn’t have the most favorable slot. However, in a relatively slow-paced early section of the show, “Esa Diva” could stand out by injecting much-needed energy. Historically, Spain has often struggled to reach the top 10, with few exceptions. While Melody is unlikely to challenge for the win, her dynamic performance may be enough to keep Spain out of the bottom tier. Prediction: Mid-table. A final result between 10th and 15th seems realistic, with a small outside chance of breaking into the lower end of the top 10.
📷 EBU/Sarah Louise Bennett
7. Ukraine: Ziferblat – “Bird of Pray”
Ukraine’s entry, “Bird of Pray” by the band Ziferblat, is among the most emotional and politically charged songs this year. It’s a genre-blending piece that reflects on the pain of war and the hope symbolized by a bird flying free. Ukraine comes into the final with a formidable reputation: they’ve finished 1st, 6th, and 3rd in the last three contests, maintaining a “serious Eurovision hot streak,” as noted by Euronews. That said, this year the bookmakers are less bullish on Ukraine; “Bird of Pray” sits roughly 13th in the odds (around a 1% win chance). This suggests a mid-pack expectation rather than a win, likely due to the song’s early running order and perhaps a less accessible style for casual viewers.
Fan community opinions are split. Many Eurovision fans acknowledge Ukraine’s consistency and the song’s heartfelt message. However, others feel this entry isn’t as instantly grabbing as Ukraine’s past efforts, which could limit its televote appeal. The press poll after the dress rehearsal shockingly had Ukraine dead last (26th), indicating the staging might not have wowed the media jurors. Still, one cannot discount Ukraine: they can count on strong diaspora and sympathetic support across Europe, and juries typically respect the quality of Ukraine’s entries. With a mid-show slot, Ziferblat will need to create a moment on stage to stay memorable. Prediction: Mid-to-Lower table (Ukraine will likely finish somewhere around 15th–20th, as the song may struggle to stand out, though a push into the lower teens is possible if both voting groups connect with its emotional depth).
📷 EBU/Sarah Louise Bennett
8. United Kingdom: Remember Monday – “What The Hell Just Happened?”
The UK’s pop-rock trio Remember Monday take to the stage in the first half with the intriguingly titled “What The Hell Just Happened?”. It’s a catchy, radio-friendly song with a power-pop hook and strong harmonies from the three female band members. After the UK’s rollercoaster recent results (from a surprise 2nd place in 2022 to last place in 2023), British fans are hoping for a respectable showing on home soil (or close to it, in Switzerland). Current predictions, however, remain cautious. Bookmakers rank the UK around 11th–12th in the odds, reflecting roughly a 1% chance of victory– essentially signaling a mid-pack finish at best. Meanwhile, the Eurovision press have not been overly enthusiastic: the UK’s staging and performance were rated bottom-six in the press poll (23rd out of 26).
Eurovision fan sites offer a similar mixed outlook. Remember Monday deliver solid live vocals and a fun stage show, but they question whether the song is impactful enough in a competitive field. Wiwibloggs reviewers have pointed out that performing 8th means the UK will need something special to stay memorable once the heavy-hitters perform later – and they fear “What The Hell Just Happened?” might be forgotten by the time voting opens. On the positive side, the UK is in the first half but not too early, and coming right after Ukraine’s intense entry could actually benefit the Brits by offering a lighter, more uptempo relief. Still, both jury and televote support for the UK seem lukewarm this year. Prediction: Outside the top 20 (barring a surprise televote rally, the UK is likely to end up in the bottom five or so, unfortunately continuing the pattern of underperformance).
📷 EBU/Alma Bengtsson
9. Austria: JJ – “Wasted Love”
Austria is one of the most talked-about contenders this year, thanks to JJ’s soaring operatic-pop ballad “Wasted Love.” Performed by 23-year-old countertenor Johannes “JJ” Pietsch, the song starts as a tender ballad and builds into a dramatic pop-opera crescendo that shows off JJ’s astounding vocal range. The performance is rumored to be visually striking and emotionally charged – think Conchita Wurst-level drama with modern staging. Bookmakers have consistently kept Austria near the very top of the odds; as of the day before the final, Austria is the second-favourite to win, with roughly a 21% implied chance. This suggests most betting pundits see “Wasted Love” comfortably in the top three, if not potentially winning.
Fan sites are highly optimistic about Austria’s chances in the Grand Final. JJ’s jury rehearsal reportedly received spontaneous applause in the press center—an early indication that “Wasted Love” could resonate strongly with juries. The song’s blend of classical and pop elements is often favored by professional panels. Wiwibloggs highlighted Austria’s potential to write a new chapter in its Eurovision story, following Conchita’s win in 2014. JJ has even been described as “a new Eurovision icon in the making,” praised for his unique voice and theatrical presence.
The main caveat is Austria’s position in the running order: 9th, which is earlier than most winners tend to perform. However, Loreen won from the same slot in 2023, proving it’s not a deal-breaker. If JJ delivers the emotion and vocal strength expected of him, both juries and televoters could respond powerfully. Prediction: Top 3. Austria is a strong contender for the win and almost certain to finish on the podium.
📷 EBU/Alma Bengtsson
10. Iceland: VÆB – “Róa”
Iceland’s trio VÆB (pronounced like “vibe”) brings a dreamy indie-pop entry called “Róa” (which means “calm” in Icelandic). True to its title, the song is a tranquil, atmospheric piece with soft vocals and a gradual build. It provides a moment of chill in an otherwise high-energy lineup. Unfortunately for Iceland, neither the odds nor fan buzz indicate a strong result. Bookmakers have “Róa” near the bottom – roughly 24th out of 26 – giving it virtually no chance to win. The press poll also placed Iceland second-to-last, suggesting the performance failed to make a lasting impression during rehearsals.
Within the Eurovision fan community, there’s appreciation for the song’s beauty (some compare its laid-back vibe to Iceland’s 2019 entry which did surprisingly well). However, most concede that in a flashy contest, “Róa” might come across as too understated, especially sandwiched between Austria’s big number and the louder acts that follow. Running 10th, it risks being overlooked once the show hits the midpoint and bigger spectacles take the stage. Unless juries champion its musicality (Iceland has occasionally been a jury darling when sending artistic songs), it’s hard to see a path out of the bottom quadrant of the scoreboard. Prediction: Bottom 5 (Iceland will likely finish in the 22nd–26th range, even if it earns some respect for its artistry).
📷 EBU/Alma Bengtsson
11. Latvia: Tautumeitas – “Bur Man Laimi”
Latvia offers a folk-infused entry with Tautumeitas, an all-female ensemble known for modernizing Latvian folk music. “Bur Man Laimi” (“Grant Me Luck”) features traditional instruments and close harmonies mixed with a contemporary beat. A distinctive sound in this year’s lineup. In terms of placement, Latvia got the 11th slot. By this point in the show, viewers will have seen a mix of ballads and bops, and Tautumeitas’ ethno-pop might provide a refreshing change of flavor. Still, expectations for Latvia’s result are fairly low. Betting odds have Latvia around 23rd out of 26, essentially in the bottom four or five entries with negligible win probability.
Eurovision fans actually rate this song as one of Latvia’s stronger efforts in recent years (the group has a folky charm and authenticity that stands out). On Wiwibloggs, some commenters called it a “dark horse for the televote” in the semi-finals, though its qualification was touch-and-go. The consensus on fan forums is that while “Bur Man Laimi” is lovely, it might not inspire wide voter support beyond the Baltic region and a niche folk-loving audience. Juries might appreciate the vocal harmonies and cultural element, but historically Latvia hasn’t received a jury boost unless the song is truly exceptional. Additionally, running just before the Netherlands and Finland (both bigger contenders) could mean Latvia’s moment is quickly overshadowed. Prediction: Bottom 5 (despite its charm, Latvia will likely end up near the bottom of the scoreboard, perhaps around 21st–25th, unless it manages to unexpectedly captivate televoters seeking something folkily different).
📷 EBU/Corinne Cumming
12. Netherlands: Claude – “C’est La Vie”
The Netherlands has been on a Eurovision upswing in the past decade, and this year they continue the trend of quality entries with “C’est La Vie” by singer-songwriter Claude. The song is a smooth, radio-friendly mid-tempo track with a catchy whistle hook and lyrics mixing English and French. An instant earworm that exudes feel-good vibes. Claude performs 12th, closing out the first half of the show, which is a decent spot (immediately after him comes a break, then the second half begins). Bookmakers have taken note of the Netherlands as a strong contender for a high finish, currently ranking it around 5th in the odds (roughly a 4% chance to win). This implies a likely top ten – possibly top five – outcome if all goes well.
Eurovision fan sites are largely positive about “C’est La Vie.” During rehearsals, Claude demonstrated reliable vocals and a warm stage presence, which bodes well. There is a sense that the Dutch entry, while universally likable, might lack a “wow” moment to push it into the absolute top spots. Especially in a year with flashier acts. Nonetheless, its broad appeal and strong running order position (last before the break, ensuring it’s remembered when the show resumes) give the Netherlands an edge. Historically, the Netherlands won in 2019 with a similarly well-crafted song, and they could very well secure another top 10 this year. Prediction: Top 10 (the Netherlands should safely land in the top 10, and if the performance really connects on the night, a top 5 finish is within reach).
📷 EBU/Sarah Louise Bennett
13. Finland: Erika Vikman – “ICH KOMME”
Finland arrives with major momentum and fandom hype. Erika Vikman’s “ICH KOMME” (a provocative German-language title meaning “I’m coming”) is a high-energy, Schlager-influenced dance-pop banger that has had Eurofans buzzing since it won Finland’s selection. The producers have rewarded Finland with the prime last spot of the first half, 13th – widely seen as the best position in the first half and an indicator that she likely won Semi-Final 2. Indeed, fans noted that tart=”21883″ data-end=”21985″>“Finland got the best position possible in the first half, probably meaning she won her semi-final.”
All signs point to Finland as a strong contender for victory or at least a top placement. Bookmakers currently rank Finland 4th in win likelihood (around a 5% chance), not far behind the top favorites. Perhaps even more telling, the Wiwi Jury (Wiwibloggs’ team of bloggers) crowned Finland as their favorite entry of 2025. Additionally, the press poll from the jury rehearsal placed Finland 2nd (only behind France), indicating that the live performance is hitting its mark. Even YouTube metrics support the hype: within hours of the semi-finals, Finland’s performance clip was among the most viewed, suggesting broad public interest.
One consideration is jury vs. televote balance. Erika Vikman’s style is flamboyant and perhaps geared more to televoters. However, her vocal ability and the song’s polished production should not be underestimated by juries either. Running 13th and then being followed by an ad break means Finland will get a spotlight moment leading into the halftime pause. It’s excellent for its memorability. Prediction: top 5 (look for Finland to finish near the top of the leaderboard; a win isn’t out of the question if televote points pour in, though a more likely scenario is somewhere in the 3rd–5th range given the fierce competition).
📷 EBU/Sarah Louise Bennett
14. Italy: Lucio Corsi – “Volevo Essere Un Duro”
Italy opens the second half with a bang. Lucio Corsi’s “Volevo Essere Un Duro” (“I Wanted to Be a Tough Guy”) is a glam-rock meets cantautore number that stands out for its artistic flair. Lucio Corsi, known for his flamboyant 70s-inspired style, takes the stage in eye-catching fashion, delivering an Italian-language song that blends rock, funk, and a touch of whimsical storytelling. Despite Italy’s strong Eurovision pedigree (consistently high jury scores and a win in 2021), this year the buzz around Italy is surprisingly muted. Bookmakers have Italy only around 12th in the odds, reflecting roughly a 1% chance of winning. In other words, they expect Italy to land mid-table, not contending for the crown.
Eurovision fans are split on Italy’s entry this year. Many appreciate Lucio Corsi’s decision to send something quirky and authentic rather than follow a typical Eurovision formula. His performance is visually striking, with theatrical elements and retro-inspired staging that give it a distinct artistic flair. However, some viewers may find the song unusual or hard to connect with. Performing 14th, Italy opens the second half of the show, which gives it renewed visibility, though it’s followed by several high-energy pop acts that could overshadow it. Italy has a strong history with juries, and this entry could still earn a top 10 jury score. However, its televote potential remains uncertain. If public support is modest, Italy may not break into the top tier. Prediction: Mid-table. Italy is likely to finish between 10th and 15th, with a top 10 result possible if juries reward its originality.
📷 EBU/Sarah Louise Bennett
15. Poland: Justyna Steczkowska – “Gaja”
Poland’s Eurovision veteran Justyna Steczkowska (who first graced the ESC stage back in 1995) returns with the ethno-art-pop ballad “Gaja.” The song builds from a haunting beginning into a dramatic climax, showcasing Justyna’s trademark vocal wails and a fusion of modern production with traditional Polish folk elements. It’s one of the more musically complex entries this year, and Poland has put effort into an eye-catching staging (rumored to involve striking LED visuals inspired by nature and mythology, fitting the song’s Gaia/Earth theme). Predicting Poland’s outcome is tricky. The bookmakers aren’t very optimistic, placing Poland around 18th in the odds (well under 1% win chance). However, the press and many fans have reacted positively. In the ESCXtra Grand Final press poll, Poland came a solid 8th.
Fan site commentary suggests Poland’s “Gaja” could be a surprise hit with juries. Justyna Steczkowska is a seasoned performer with impressive vocal range, a quality jurors often reward. The song’s ethereal, art-pop style sets it apart musically, though that same quality may limit its appeal with the broader televoting audience. It isn’t as instantly catchy as some of the other entries, which could be a disadvantage. However, Poland typically benefits from diaspora support, especially from countries like the UK, Ireland, and Germany. Performing 15th, “Gaja” lands between Italy’s offbeat performance and Germany’s club track, offering a contrasting, atmospheric moment in the second half. Poland could attract viewers looking for something more emotional. Prediction: Mid-table. A finish around 10th to 15th seems likely, with the potential to creep into the top 10 if juries respond strongly. Overall, Poland should earn a respectable score without being a top contender.
16. Germany: Abor & Tynna – “Baller”
Germany’s duo Abor & Tynna serve up a contemporary pop track titled “Baller,” is a confident and rhythmic song about living life large. It features a blend of English and German lyrics, a strong beat drop, and a flashy stage show with neon urban aesthetics. Germany is hoping to improve on last year’s last-place result, but the odds suggest they may struggle once again. Bookmakers peg Germany roughly 15th out of 26, with under a 1% chance of winning. In other words, they foresee Germany ending up in the lower part of the scoreboard. The press poll reinforces this pessimism: Germany’s performance was rated in the bottom five by journalists (22nd place, with only a handful of press members listing it among their favorites).
Eurovision fan sites have been underwhelmed by Germany’s “Baller,” noting that it doesn’t fully live up to its bold title. ESCUnited described the track as radio-friendly and well-produced, but lacking a standout hook or emotional depth to make it memorable. This echoes a familiar critique of Germany’s recent entries—technically solid, yet often generic. Positioned 16th, “Baller” performs mid-second half, but it’s followed by Greece’s emotional ballad, which may highlight its relative lack of substance. On the plus side, Abor & Tynna bring strong vocals and confident stage presence, making a nul points scenario unlikely. Still, in a final filled with more impactful or theatrical acts, Germany risks being forgotten by both juries and televoters. Without a major televote push, it’s hard to see “Baller” breaking out. Prediction: Bottom 5. Germany is likely to finish between 21st and 25th, continuing its recent struggles on the Eurovision stage.
📷 EBU/Sarah Louise Bennett
17. Greece: Klavdia – “Asteromáta”
Greece delivers a poignant, ethno-inspired ballad with Klavdia’s “Asteromáta” (“Stardust”). This song has been described as enchanting and soulful. It starts quietly with Klavdia’s rich vocals over Greek folk melodies and builds to an emotional climax. Staging is reportedly minimalistic yet elegant, focusing on Klavdia and atmospheric lighting. Among fan communities, Greece has been identified as a potential dark horse. Despite very long betting odds (ranked around 16th, <1% chance to win), many fans and bloggers see “Asteromáta” as a song that could outperform expectations. The ESCXtra team noted that Klavdia’s rehearsal garnered goosebumps and could be a jury favorite for its vocal execution and authentic feel. In fact, the YouTube view counts after the semi-finals showed Klavdia’s performance trending high, alongside front-runners, indicating growing momentum.
Greece placed 9th in the press poll following the jury rehearsal, a promising sign for Klavdia’s emotional ballad “Asteromáta.” Historically, Greece performs well with the televote, often boosted by diaspora support and appreciation for traditional musical elements. The challenge this year is whether such a subtle ballad can stand out in a competitive field of more explosive performances. Performing 17th, Greece sits in a quieter section of the show. The country is surrounded by Armenia and Switzerland, both ballads as well. This grouping may create a reflective mood that plays to Greece’s advantage.
Klavdia’s strong vocals and the song’s ethereal quality could resonate with juries. The televote is less certain, though even a moderate public score combined with strong jury support might secure a solid result. Prediction: Mid-table with Upside. Greece is likely to finish between 12th and 16th, but a top 10 result—especially driven by the jury—is very much within reach.
📷 EBU/Sarah Louise Bennett
18. Armenia: PARG – “Survivor”
Armenia’s entry “Survivor” by the artist PARG is a powerful pop ballad with R&B influences. It speaks to resilience and overcoming hardship, delivered with emotive vocals and a modern production. PARG’s staging features dynamic LED backgrounds and contemporary dance elements, aiming to create a narrative of struggle and hope on stage. Armenia performs 18th, which places it in the later part of the show, right before the host country Switzerland. The prediction indicators for Armenia are mixed: in betting odds, Armenia is near the bottom (often ranked 25th out of 26, implying virtually no chance at winning). This low confidence from bookies suggests they expect Armenia to finish bottom-five. However, the press poll and some fan opinions tell a slightly different story. The press poll after the jury rehearsal had Armenia in a respectable 12th place (tied with Malta), indicating that those who watched the performance found it solid.
Armenia’s recent Eurovision history shows they can surprise (they were a televote favorite in 2022, for example). A lot may depend on diaspora and neighbor voting; Armenia traditionally receives points from countries like France, Belgium, Netherlands (with Armenian communities) and of course from Georgia. With a heartfelt theme and a late-ish running order, Armenia could avoid the very bottom and pick up moderate points across the board. That said, competition in the second half is stiff, and “Survivor” might not demand attention like some others. Prediction: Lower Mid-Table. We expect Armenia to finish perhaps around 16th–20th. It probably won’t be in the top 15, but it might also not be dead last as the odds suggest. A finish just outside the top 15 seems plausible if PARG’s message and vocal delivery strike a chord with a few juries and televoters.
📷 EBU/Sarah Louise Bennett
19. Switzerland: Zoë Më – “Voyage”
As the host country and last year’s winner, Switzerland takes the stage 19th by prior draw – and it turns out to be a fantastically advantageous position. Swiss artist Zoë Më performs “Voyage,” a haunting and cinematic ballad that gradually builds into a big, orchestra-backed finish. Producers have surrounded Switzerland with contrasting entries: it follows several high-intensity songs and is immediately succeeded by Portugal’s gentle number, meaning “Voyage” sits in a sweet spot to shine. Essentially, Zoë Më’s ballad gets to hit a reset button for viewers’ emotions late in the show.
Switzerland is widely seen as a strong contender for a top result in the Grand Final. Currently ranked around 7th in the betting odds, Zoë Më’s “Voyage” has about a 3% chance of winning, with most predicting a top 10 finish and some even eyeing a potential top 5. The press poll from the jury rehearsal placed Switzerland 5th, indicating strong early impressions. Fan sites have praised the entry’s elegant composition and emotional delivery—exactly the kind of ballad juries tend to reward.
As host nation, Switzerland also benefits from crowd support, which could add an extra spark to the live performance. While host countries sometimes struggle to score well, “Voyage” feels like a genuine contender rather than a filler. The televote may be a bit less generous than the juries, but a solid score from both seems likely. Prediction: Top 10. If everything connects, Switzerland could even push into the top 5.
📷 EBU/Alma Bengtsson
20. Malta: Miriana Conte – “SERVING”
Malta’s Miriana Conte is “SERVING” pop realness with her fierce and funky entry. The song is an upbeat pop track with gospel influences and a sassy hook (“she’s serving!”) that has become a minor fan catchphrase. Miriana delivers big vocals and attitude, supported by a group of backing singers and dancers that give the performance a revved-up, almost party-like vibe. Positioned 20th in the order, Malta comes just before Portugal’s down-tempo song, providing a burst of energy in the later part of the show. The predictive indicators put Malta in the middle of the field. Bookmakers rank Malta roughly 10th, implying about a 1% chance to win and an expectation of a mid-table or just-below-top-10 finish.
Eurovision fans see Malta as a possible surprise in the final. Although Miriana Conte was one of the last qualifiers announced, perhaps suggesting she was on the bubble. Her performance has gained strength since. Historically, Malta tends to do well with juries thanks to polished entries, while televote support is less consistent. This year, performing 20th gives Malta an advantage, especially as one of the last upbeat songs before the voting begins. That visibility could help with public support.
However, Malta performs just before the final commercial break, which may slightly interrupt momentum. Still, the combination of strong vocals, slick staging, and a late slot should earn it points from fans who enjoy classic Eurovision-style pop. Prediction: Mid-table. Malta is likely to place between 12th and 17th. If juries respond especially well, it could push toward the lower end of the top 10, but a solid mid-pack result seems most likely.
📷 EBU/Sarah Louise Bennett
21. Portugal: NAPA – “Deslocado”
Portugal brings a touch of class and intimacy with “Deslocado,” a soulful and jazzy ballad performed by NAPA. After a series of louder entries, Portugal’s song is deliberately understated. Just NAPA’s smooth vocals against a backdrop of soft piano and strings, later joined by gentle percussion. It’s the kind of entry that creates a quiet moment in the arena. Placed 21st, Portugal also directly precedes the final set of big uptempo finales, making it a calm-before-the-storm moment. The betting odds, however, are not kind to Portugal, ranking it dead last with virtually no chance of winning. This aligns with a pattern: Portugal often sends authentic entries that sometimes struggle to garner widespread points (with the notable exception of their 2017 win).
Despite low expectations in the betting odds, Portugal’s “Deslocado” has received more positive feedback from those who’ve seen the performance. The press poll after the jury show placed Portugal 11th, suggesting that NAPA’s emotional delivery and strong vocals were well received by accredited viewers. The song’s intimate, understated nature may appeal to juries who value musicality and authenticity. However, the bigger question is the televote. In a Grand Final packed with bold visuals and uptempo energy, will casual viewers remember a subtle, jazzy Portuguese ballad? The running order could help or hinder: coming after Malta’s bright pop and before Denmark’s synthwave, Portugal might stand out for its calm tone—or risk being overshadowed. Historically, such entries tend to earn modest public support. Prediction: Bottom 5. Portugal could avoid last place if juries lift it, but a final result in the 20th–25th range is most likely.
📷 EBU/Corinne Cumming
22. Denmark: Sissal – “Hallucination”
Denmark’s Sissal offers a sleek electronic pop track titled “Hallucination.” This entry features 80s synthwave influences and a catchy chorus, with Sissal’s ethereal vocals floating over a danceable beat. The staging leans into a neon cyberpunk aesthetic to match the trippy vibe of the song. Performing 22nd, Denmark is part of the run of uptempo acts that close the show. The consensus is that Denmark will likely have a middling outcome. Bookmakers put Denmark around 19th in the odds. The press poll had Denmark in the mid-teens (14th place), so the performance was seen as decent but not among the absolute best.
Fan discussion around Denmark’s “Hallucination” has been fairly subdued. Most fans find it pleasant, though not especially memorable. Some have compared its retro synth-pop vibe to a track that might succeed on streaming platforms more than on the Eurovision stage. Its placement between Portugal’s gentle ballad and Sweden’s high-energy favorite could work briefly in its favor by offering contrast. However, here’s a strong chance it gets overshadowed. On the plus side, Denmark’s staging is visually striking, which might help boost recall among televoters. Still, historically, Denmark’s entries that just make it through the semi-final often land in the lower half of the scoreboard. This song seems likely to follow that trend. While it may earn a few jury points for professionalism and pick up some televotes for its catchy sound, it’s unlikely to make a big impact. Prediction: Lower Mid-Table, likely around 18th to 22nd.
📷 EBU/Alma Bengtsson
23. Sweden: KAJ – “Bara Bada Bastu”
Sweden steps into the final leg of the show with the clear bookies’ favorite: KAJ’s party anthem “Bara Bada Bastu” (in English: “Just Go Sauna”). This entry is unlike anything Sweden has sent in recent memory. It’s a joyous, comedic tribute to the Nordic sauna culture, performed by trio KAJ entirely in Swedish. The staging is delightfully tongue-in-cheek: expect sauna benches, towels, and a lot of playful choreography (yes, they shout “Sauna!” throughout). Bookmakers have been unanimous in predicting Sweden as the frontrunner, giving KAJ around a 42% chance to win it all. A remarkably high figure that underscores how strong Sweden’s position is perceived.
Fan sites are full of enthusiasm for Sweden’s “Bara Bada Bastu.” Instead of their usual polished pop, Sweden has gone in a bold new direction with a humorous, culturally rooted sauna anthem. Rehearsals reportedly turned the arena into a party, and the song’s catchy hook is easy for all viewers to join in on—regardless of language. It’s clearly geared toward the televote, and Sweden’s performance is expected to land very well with the public. The only lingering doubt is the jury reaction. Comedic songs don’t always top jury lists, but Sweden’s historically strong jury record suggests “Bara Bada Bastu” will still score well. Performing 23rd, Sweden benefits from a prime late slot and will be the final upbeat song of the night—perfect for sticking in voters’ minds. Prediction: Top 3. Sweden is almost certain to reach the podium and remains the most likely winner of Eurovision 2025.
📷 EBU/Sarah Louise Bennett
24. France: Louane – “Maman”
France arrives with an emotional show-stopper: “Maman,” a touching ballad performed by pop star Louane. Louane sings to her mother, and the lyrics (in French) coupled with her sincere delivery have reportedly moved many listeners to tears. Staging is understated but elegant, focusing on Louane’s connection with the camera and some beautiful lighting/backdrop moments. Slotted at 24th, France performs in a prime spot for memorability. The predictions for France are extremely positive. Bookmakers have France as a top-three contender, roughly the third favorite with about a 12% chance to win. Moreover, France won the Press Poll for the grand final, ranking 1st by a significant margin. This implies that the jury rehearsal left a huge impression, and many think France could actually snatch the victory from the bookies’ fave (Sweden).
Fan sites are highly optimistic about France’s chances. Many fans and commentators see Louane’s “Maman” as a likely jury favorite. That is thanks to her flawless vocal delivery and the song’s emotional message. The late running order, combined with Louane’s established popularity and the ballad’s sincerity, positions France strongly. The main question is whether the public will respond as positively as the juries. While ballads sometimes underperform in the televote, “Maman” could be an exception, especially following Sweden’s upbeat sauna-themed entry. The contrast might help France stand out even more. Overall, the ingredients are in place for a high-scoring performance. Prediction: Top 5. France is likely to finish near the top and could easily land in the top 3. If the televote aligns with the expected strong jury support, France has a real shot at winning Eurovision 2025. Expect to hear “France – 12 points” regularly during the jury vote.
📷 EBU/Sarah Louise Bennett
25. San Marino: Gabry Ponte – “Tutta L’Italia”
San Marino pulls out a wild card this year by sending well-known Italian DJ Gabry Ponte with an EDM track titled “Tutta L’Italia” (“All of Italy”). Essentially, it’s three minutes of pure party, and Gabry Ponte uses his DJ skills live on stage, complete with pyrotechnics and a rave-like lighting setup. Performing 25th, the penultimate act, San Marino certainly benefits from a late slot. However, given that it’s followed only by Albania’s strong number, there’s still a chance for it to be remembered. The question is: can San Marino finally break through to the left side of the scoreboard? The odds are not very favorable. San Marino is around 20th in the betting rankings (under 1% chance to win).
San Marino’s “Tutta L’Italia” is widely seen by fans as a fun, tongue-in-cheek entry. More of a guilty pleasure than a serious contender. The song’s playful tone and cultural references might entertain televoters, especially with Gabry Ponte’s name recognition as a well-known DJ. However, Eurovision history suggests that novelty or party entries often struggle to earn points from juries, who tend to favor vocally or musically stronger performances. San Marino rarely finishes high on the scoreboard unless their entry stands out dramatically, which “Tutta L’Italia” may not do beyond its entertainment factor. Its late slot in the running order could prevent it from ending up in last place, but expectations remain modest. Prediction: Outside the Top 20. While a strong televote could push it slightly higher, a bottom-five finish seems more realistic. Cracking the top 15 would be a surprise, requiring broader support than this entry is likely to generate.
📷 EBU/Corinne Cumming
26. Albania: Shkodra Elektronike – “Zjerm”
Albania has drawn the coveted final slot in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final. They’re set to close the show with power and fire. “Zjerm” (“Fire”) by Shkodra Elektronike is a high-energy ethno-electronic track that blends traditional Albanian sounds with a pulsating modern beat. The staging is just as fiery, with dramatic visuals, bold vocals, and a full-throttle performance that promises to leave a lasting impression. Fan excitement around the entry is strong. The Wiwi Jury ranked Albania second overall this year, and the fact that the country closes the show has only fuelled more buzz. Many fans believe this is Albania’s best entry in years, and the hype is real.
Bookmakers currently rank Albania 9th, indicating solid chances of a top 10 finish. Performing last is an advantage, keeping the song fresh in viewers’ minds. The ethno-EDM style often connects well with televoters, and the group’s powerful vocals could appeal to juries. While Albania doesn’t benefit from a large voting bloc, this year’s standout staging and sound may override that.
Prediction: Top 10, with a strong chance of reaching the top 5 if the televote delivers. Albania could well be one of the surprise highlights of the night.
📷 EBU/Alma Bengtsson
Conclusion
In summary, the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final promises a diverse and unpredictable show. Sweden’s sauna-themed party track leads the betting odds, but strong contenders like France’s heartfelt ballad and Austria’s powerful operatic entry are close behind. Finland, Switzerland, and Albania also bring momentum that could push them toward top placements. At the same time, several countries appear headed for the lower half of the scoreboard. Not due to lack of quality, but because their songs may struggle to stand out in such a competitive field.
As always, the running order and live performance on the night will be key. A standout performance can shift the outcome dramatically, even against the odds. These predictions reflect the best insights available as of May 16, drawing from fan reactions and bookmakers alike. But it’s Eurovision. Surprises are guaranteed. With 26 countries offering everything from high drama to high camp, this Grand Final promises to be an unforgettable finale to Eurovision 2025.
