Basel Bulletin: the running order

The running order for the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final has now been officially released. While it may appear to be a simple list, the performance sequence is in fact a carefully crafted component of the contest’s structure. As always, the goal is to balance song styles, sustain viewer engagement, and give each act a fair shot.

In this article, we will explore three key elements of the running order: the strategy producers use when assigning positions, statistical trends related to running order and results, and a country-by-country breakdown of how the placements might influence the final outcome.


Why the Running Order Matters

Unlike in the early days of Eurovision, the Grand Final running order is no longer decided by random draw. Instead, the show’s producers assign positions after the semi-finals, taking several factors into account. For example, they avoid placing songs with similar genres or tones back-to-back. This way, viewers experience contrast and variety throughout the evening.

In addition, logistical concerns play a role. Songs with elaborate staging or technical demands are spaced out to give the stage crew time to set up. Consequently, the order not only affects how songs are perceived, but also how smoothly the show runs.

Moreover, producers tend to open the final with a high-energy performance and close with an act that leaves a strong final impression. Therefore, a country placed in either of those slots can benefit from added attention.


What History Tells Us About Slot Influence

Over the years, data has shown a clear trend: songs performed later in the show tend to do better. In fact, between 2004 and 2013, all winners performed from position 17 or later. Since then, while there have been exceptions, the pattern generally holds.

Slots in the low teens or twenties are particularly favorable. Conversely, very early positions — especially number 2 — are considered risky. Songs in these slots often fade from memory by the time voting begins. Nevertheless, strong staging and memorable melodies can still overcome these odds.

For this reason, many fans and analysts look closely at the running order each year, hoping to spot early indicators of potential success or disappointment.


Final Thoughts: Placement Helps, but Performance Still Reigns

In summary, the running order does influence how songs are perceived. However, it doesn’t override the importance of a great song and a strong performance. Indeed, history shows that good entries can win from nearly any position, though later slots generally help.

At the same time, producers use the running order as a tool to ensure balance and viewer engagement. Thus, a carefully placed song might get the extra attention it needs to connect with audiences and juries alike.

In the end, Eurovision is never predictable. Whether the winner performs first, last, or somewhere in between, Eurovision 2025 is certain to deliver a final packed with excitement, surprises, and standout moments.

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Weekly Update

It’s time for another weekly Eurovision update. Lithuania has officially confirmed its participation for 2026. Bosnia & Herzegovina sadly announced it will not return. Belgium’s Eurovision plans remain uncertain despite earlier reports. Meanwhile, Kazakhstan is inching closer to a possible debut. Austrian media are buzzing with the first host rumors, and ORF has entered negotiations with Vienna and Innsbruck to decide the 2026 host city. 🇱🇹 🇧🇦 Lithuania In, Bosnia-Herzegovina Out of Eurovision 2026 Lithuania’s broadcaster LRT has confirmed that the country will compete in the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. The confirmation was given to ESC Today. Details on how Lithuania will select its entry are yet to be announced, but a national final is expected as in previous years. 📷 EBU/Sarah Louise Bennett In contrast, Bosnia & Herzegovina will not be participating in Eurovision 2026. Broadcaster BHRT officially stated it cannot return next year. That is due to ongoing EBU sanctions stemming from unpaid debts. The Bosnian delegation explained that without resolving the funding issues and outstanding debts – and securing a sponsor – a Eurovision comeback isn’t feasible. Bosnia & Herzegovina last took part in 2016 and has been absent from the contest ever since. 🇧🇪 Belgium’s 2026 Participation Remains Uncertain Contrary to reports last week, Belgium’s Eurovision 2026 participation is not yet fully confirmed. French-language broadcaster RTBF (responsible for Belgium’s 2026 entry) clarified the station has not officially committed to the contest yet. RTBF cited ongoing discussions within the EBU and among its member broadcasters. That’s why they are proceeding with preparations without a formal confirmation of participation for now. In short, Belgium is lining up a potential act for Eurovision 2026, but RTBF is keeping its options open until certain international discussions are resolved. 🇰🇿 EBU to Discuss Kazakhstan’s Possible Debut Kazakhstan’s Eurovision dreams are gaining traction. During the recent EBU General Assembly in London, the chairman of Kazakhstan’s broadcaster (Khabar Agency) met with EBU officials to propose the country’s debut in 2026. According to Kemelbek Oishybayev (Khabar’s director), EBU chief Noel Curran reacted positively and agreed to have Kazakhstan’s participation proposal discussed at the next EBU meeting. If the EBU extends an invitation, 2026 could mark Kazakhstan’s first appearance in the Eurovision Song Contest. Kazakhstan has participated in Junior Eurovision in the past, but because Khabar is not a full EBU member, a special invitation is required for the main contest. So far, Australia is the only country to receive such an invitation. A final decision on Kazakhstan’s Eurovision 2026 fate is expected in the coming months. 🇦🇹 Host Rumors: ORF Eyes Swarovski and Knoll for 2026 With Austria preparing to host Eurovision 2026, speculation has started about who will present the shows. One name on everyone’s lips is Andi Knoll. He is Austria’s veteran Eurovision commentator. According to Kleine Zeitung, Knoll is considered a likely choice – essentially a “fixed” host for 2026. Knoll has been the Austrian commentator since 1999. So seeing him step on the Eurovision stage next year would be a fitting full-circle moment. 📷 Johan Morgenbesser, Wikimedia Commons Another high-profile name emerging is Victoria Swarovski. ORF is reportedly interested in the TV presenter as a potential Eurovision host. Victoria is known for hosting Germany’s “Let’s Dance”. Austrian media reveal that ORF insiders are “flirting” with the idea of featuring the Tyrolean-born Swarovski in the hosting lineup. However, there could be scheduling conflicts with her RTL commitments, which might depend on RTL’s involvement in Eurovision next year. 📷 Superbass, Wikimedia Commons Swarovski isn’t the only woman in the mix. Several ORF news anchors – such as Nadja Bernhard, Alexandra Wachter, and Raffaela Schaidreiter – are also rumored as possibilities for the hosting team. Fans have even speculated about bringing back the trio of female hosts from Vienna 2015: Arabella Kiesbauer, Mirjam Weichselbraun, and Alice Tumler. In fact, Kiesbauer has already stated she’d be ready to return if asked, saying “if I’m needed, I’ll be there”. ORF has yet to make any official announcements, so the host selection remains an exciting guessing game for now. Also Conchita Wurst is rumoured as a host. She did the job in the green room in 2015. Vienna and Innsbruck in Final Host City Talks Vienna and Innsbruck have emerged as the final two cities vying to host Eurovision 2026. Both cities submitted their official bid proposals by the July 4 deadline and impressed the broadcaster with their plans. ORF conducted initial site visits at Wiener Stadthalle in Vienna and the Olympiaworld arena in Innsbruck, the venues proposed in the bids. Following those inspections, ORF invited both cities to enter detailed negotiations, calling the two proposals “very exciting and promising”. ORF’s Director General Roland Weißmann praised Vienna and Innsbruck for their strong enthusiasm and suitable conditions to host the contest. The Stadthalle (which can hold up to ~16,000 attendees and previously hosted Eurovision in 2015) and Innsbruck’s Olympiaworld (around 12,000 capacity) both meet the key requirements. Over the coming weeks, ORF will be in deep discussions with each city’s team to scrutinize all logistical and financial details. The final decision on the Eurovision 2026 host city is expected by the second half of August – so we’ll soon find out whether the honor goes to the capital Vienna or the Tyrolean city of Innsbruck. That’s all for this weekly update. Stay tuned for another roundup next week. The road to Eurovision 2026 continues! Share

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Weekly Update

It’s time for another weekly Eurovision update. Lithuania has officially confirmed its participation for 2026. Bosnia & Herzegovina sadly announced it will not return. Belgium’s Eurovision plans remain uncertain despite earlier reports. Meanwhile, Kazakhstan is inching closer to a possible debut. Austrian media are buzzing with the first host rumors, and ORF has entered negotiations with Vienna and Innsbruck to decide the 2026 host city. 🇱🇹 🇧🇦 Lithuania In, Bosnia-Herzegovina Out of Eurovision 2026 Lithuania’s broadcaster LRT has confirmed that the country will compete in the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. The confirmation was given to ESC Today. Details on how Lithuania will select its entry are yet to be announced, but a national final is expected as in previous years. 📷 EBU/Sarah Louise Bennett In contrast, Bosnia & Herzegovina will not be participating in Eurovision 2026. Broadcaster BHRT officially stated it cannot return next year. That is due to ongoing EBU sanctions stemming from unpaid debts. The Bosnian delegation explained that without resolving the funding issues and outstanding debts – and securing a sponsor – a Eurovision comeback isn’t feasible. Bosnia & Herzegovina last took part in 2016 and has been absent from the contest ever since. 🇧🇪 Belgium’s 2026 Participation Remains Uncertain Contrary to reports last week, Belgium’s Eurovision 2026 participation is not yet fully confirmed. French-language broadcaster RTBF (responsible for Belgium’s 2026 entry) clarified the station has not officially committed to the contest yet. RTBF cited ongoing discussions within the EBU and among its member broadcasters. That’s why they are proceeding with preparations without a formal confirmation of participation for now. In short, Belgium is lining up a potential act for Eurovision 2026, but RTBF is keeping its options open until certain international discussions are resolved. 🇰🇿 EBU to Discuss Kazakhstan’s Possible Debut Kazakhstan’s Eurovision dreams are gaining traction. During the recent EBU General Assembly in London, the chairman of Kazakhstan’s broadcaster (Khabar Agency) met with EBU officials to propose the country’s debut in 2026. According to Kemelbek Oishybayev (Khabar’s director), EBU chief Noel Curran reacted positively and agreed to have Kazakhstan’s participation proposal discussed at the next EBU meeting. If the EBU extends an invitation, 2026 could mark Kazakhstan’s first appearance in the Eurovision Song Contest. Kazakhstan has participated in Junior Eurovision in the past, but because Khabar is not a full EBU member, a special invitation is required for the main contest. So far, Australia is the only country to receive such an invitation. A final decision on Kazakhstan’s Eurovision 2026 fate is expected in the coming months. 🇦🇹 Host Rumors: ORF Eyes Swarovski and Knoll for 2026 With Austria preparing to host Eurovision 2026, speculation has started about who will present the shows. One name on everyone’s lips is Andi Knoll. He is Austria’s veteran Eurovision commentator. According to Kleine Zeitung, Knoll is considered a likely choice – essentially a “fixed” host for 2026. Knoll has been the Austrian commentator since 1999. So seeing him step on the Eurovision stage next year would be a fitting full-circle moment. 📷 Johan Morgenbesser, Wikimedia Commons Another high-profile name emerging is Victoria Swarovski. ORF is reportedly interested in the TV presenter as a potential Eurovision host. Victoria is known for hosting Germany’s “Let’s Dance”. Austrian media reveal that ORF insiders are “flirting” with the idea of featuring the Tyrolean-born Swarovski in the hosting lineup. However, there could be scheduling conflicts with her RTL commitments, which might depend on RTL’s involvement in Eurovision next year. 📷 Superbass, Wikimedia Commons Swarovski isn’t the only woman in the mix. Several ORF news anchors – such as Nadja Bernhard, Alexandra Wachter, and Raffaela Schaidreiter – are also rumored as possibilities for the hosting team. Fans have even speculated about bringing back the trio of female hosts from Vienna 2015: Arabella Kiesbauer, Mirjam Weichselbraun, and Alice Tumler. In fact, Kiesbauer has already stated she’d be ready to return if asked, saying “if I’m needed, I’ll be there”. ORF has yet to make any official announcements, so the host selection remains an exciting guessing game for now. Also Conchita Wurst is rumoured as a host. She did the job in the green room in 2015. Vienna and Innsbruck in Final Host City Talks Vienna and Innsbruck have emerged as the final two cities vying to host Eurovision 2026. Both cities submitted their official bid proposals by the July 4 deadline and impressed the broadcaster with their plans. ORF conducted initial site visits at Wiener Stadthalle in Vienna and the Olympiaworld arena in Innsbruck, the venues proposed in the bids. Following those inspections, ORF invited both cities to enter detailed negotiations, calling the two proposals “very exciting and promising”. ORF’s Director General Roland Weißmann praised Vienna and Innsbruck for their strong enthusiasm and suitable conditions to host the contest. The Stadthalle (which can hold up to ~16,000 attendees and previously hosted Eurovision in 2015) and Innsbruck’s Olympiaworld (around 12,000 capacity) both meet the key requirements. Over the coming weeks, ORF will be in deep discussions with each city’s team to scrutinize all logistical and financial details. The final decision on the Eurovision 2026 host city is expected by the second half of August – so we’ll soon find out whether the honor goes to the capital Vienna or the Tyrolean city of Innsbruck. That’s all for this weekly update. Stay tuned for another roundup next week. The road to Eurovision 2026 continues! Share

Share
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